The song Locomotive Breath portrays a loss of control resulting from extreme, unanticipated events and the need to make the best of it as we go forward, which could describe today’s geopolitical and economic backdrop. In our 2021 year-end letter, we...
CrossingBridge Insights
CrossingBridge Insights is our opportunity to share our thoughts on interesting trends and data points through our Quarterly Commentaries, Market Observations, recent news, and random musings. We hope you enjoy and we welcome your feedback.
Government intervention often results in unintended consequences. Thomas Hoenig, former president of the Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank, in his just-published book, The Lords of Easy Money: How the Federal Reserve Broke the American Economy,...
Throughout history, pandemics have created structural changes: the fall of empires, the rise of Christianity, the collapse of economic systems, peace agreements among nations and societal introspection A Change is Gonna Come1 Throughout history,...
In response to the onset of the COVID crisis in late March 2020, Congress passed the CARES Act, which directed cash payments to nearly 80% of American households, providing temporary peace of mind for those with limited savings and living paycheck...
The U.S. government’s aggressive stimulus in response to the COVID-19 crisis, while necessary, has been like drawing a bubble bath for the financial markets. The $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan and an anticipated $2.0 trillion infrastructure...
Perception of a post-COVID economic rebound and 2021 optimism became a financial market reality in 2020, with robust bullishness across most asset classes from stocks to bonds to bitcoin. This is a classic illustration of “reflexivity” in which a...
Scientifically, 10% of an iceberg is visible while 90% of its volume is unseen, below the water’s surface. In the U.S. equity and fixed income markets, the dramatic rebound from the March trough brought this to mind as there is a lot more going on...
Through an ongoing series of rule changes related to illegal contact, primarily intended to protect players, the NFL has also made the game more exciting. As a result of more stringent pass interference regulations, the game has tilted in favor of...
The economy was essentially “switched off” in unprecedented fashion. A significant portion of small and large businesses has been virtually closed with their revenues reduced to practically nothing. With the country locked down under “shelter in...
General consensus indicates “clear skies ahead” for 2020. Nonetheless, the Leading Economic Indicators (“LEIs”) are decidedly mixed. In this environment, we are certain that selective opportunities will arise as we pursue active patience.